Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Current value
- $348,984
- Average price
- 69¢
- Return
- +6.4%
Evidence window
Summary uses up to the latest 50 closed positions returned by Polymarket. It is a public data snapshot, not an endorsement or identity claim.
Largest current positions returned for this public wallet. Values can move with market prices.
The latest closed positions reported by Polymarket, ordered by close time. P&L is shown exactly as returned by the public data API.
| Market | Outcome | Bought | Realized P&L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | $10,032 | +$743.28 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? | No | $1,595 | +$339.17 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | $3,512 | +$384.34 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Spain | $12,712 | +$5,211.88 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | No | $47,221 | +$1,719.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | No | $28,289 | +$2,486.39 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | No | $2,107 | +$107.48 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | No | $326 | +$31.34 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | Under | $2,078 | +$78.49 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14? | No | $3,486 | +$105.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | No | $4,301 | +$301.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | No | $7,589 | +$693.56 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Only current user-visible HIGH and MEDIUM observations appear here. A flag describes an unusual trading pattern; it is not evidence of misconduct.
Jul 16, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$14,000
BUY · No · 90¢
Jul 15, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$13,775
BUY · No · 86¢
Jun 16, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$11,753
BUY · No · 93¢
Apr 13, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$10,158
BUY · No · 77¢
Apr 3, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$11,555
BUY · Yes · 69¢
Apr 3, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$14,514
BUY · Yes · 67¢
The wallet, positions, and P&L are public market records. The nickname is a stable navigation label, not a claim about the wallet owner.
The full address stays visible and links to Polygon for independent inspection.
Position and P&L rows come from Polymarket's public Data API and link back to their markets.
PolyTrackers makes no identity inference. A real-world label appears only with a public source.
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Historical P&L does not predict future performance. Start with paper trading and your own risk limits.