Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Current value
- $319,074
- Average price
- 70¢
- Return
- +27.3%
Evidence window
Summary uses up to the latest 50 closed positions returned by Polymarket. It is a public data snapshot, not an endorsement or identity claim.
Largest current positions returned for this public wallet. Values can move with market prices.
The latest closed positions reported by Polymarket, ordered by close time. P&L is shown exactly as returned by the public data API.
| Market | Outcome | Bought | Realized P&L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | $124,147 | -$11,581.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | Yes | $2,222 | +$14.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? | Yes | $306 | +$12.10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | No | $8,307 | +$156.00 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | No | $34,914 | -$4,152.61 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | Yes | $773 | +$25.39 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | Yes | $12,374 | +$1,939.03 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | No | $115,983 | +$9,385.31 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | $3,400 | -$168.06 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | $3,416 | +$236.55 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | No | $34,628 | -$8,753.57 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | Yes | $44,640 | +$3,056.87 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Only current user-visible HIGH and MEDIUM observations appear here. A flag describes an unusual trading pattern; it is not evidence of misconduct.
Jul 8, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$10,665
BUY · No · 74¢
Jul 8, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$14,006
BUY · No · 77¢
Jul 3, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$28,060
BUY · No · 91¢
Jul 3, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$62,976
BUY · No · 88¢
Jun 17, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$18,650
BUY · Yes · 44¢
Jun 17, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$21,686
BUY · Yes · 86¢
The wallet, positions, and P&L are public market records. The nickname is a stable navigation label, not a claim about the wallet owner.
The full address stays visible and links to Polygon for independent inspection.
Position and P&L rows come from Polymarket's public Data API and link back to their markets.
PolyTrackers makes no identity inference. A real-world label appears only with a public source.
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Historical P&L does not predict future performance. Start with paper trading and your own risk limits.