Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Current value
- $465,013
- Average price
- 76¢
- Return
- +23.8%
Evidence window
Summary uses up to the latest 50 closed positions returned by Polymarket. It is a public data snapshot, not an endorsement or identity claim.
Largest current positions returned for this public wallet. Values can move with market prices.
The latest closed positions reported by Polymarket, ordered by close time. P&L is shown exactly as returned by the public data API.
| Market | Outcome | Bought | Realized P&L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | $70,245 | +$783.19 | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | $9,005 | +$974.03 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | $134,440 | +$4,500.66 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | $2,178 | +$104.52 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $52,914 | +$9,905.14 | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | $175,653 | +$1,596.61 | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | $15,424 | +$462.73 | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | No | $7,453 | +$835.13 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | No | $8,307 | +$156.00 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | Yes | $10,907 | -$233.34 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | No | $756,619 | -$19,884.97 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | $202,534 | +$52,658.93 | Sep 1, 2026 |
Only current user-visible HIGH and MEDIUM observations appear here. A flag describes an unusual trading pattern; it is not evidence of misconduct.
Aug 6, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$10,409
BUY · No · 69¢
Aug 2, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$13,607
BUY · Yes · 53¢
Jul 31, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$12,697
BUY · Yes · 30¢
Jul 8, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$10,665
BUY · No · 74¢
Jul 8, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$14,006
BUY · No · 77¢
Jul 3, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$28,060
BUY · No · 91¢
The wallet, positions, and P&L are public market records. The nickname is a stable navigation label, not a claim about the wallet owner.
The full address stays visible and links to Polygon for independent inspection.
Position and P&L rows come from Polymarket's public Data API and link back to their markets.
PolyTrackers makes no identity inference. A real-world label appears only with a public source.
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Historical P&L does not predict future performance. Start with paper trading and your own risk limits.