Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Current value
- $53,519
- Average price
- 82¢
- Return
- +0.4%
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Evidence window
Summary uses up to the latest 50 closed positions returned by Polymarket. It is a public data snapshot, not an endorsement or identity claim.
Largest current positions returned for this public wallet. Values can move with market prices.
The latest closed positions reported by Polymarket, ordered by close time. P&L is shown exactly as returned by the public data API.
| Market | Outcome | Bought | Realized P&L | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | No | — | -$23.64 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | — | -$1,687.97 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | — | -$1,958.87 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026? | Yes | — | -$78.53 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | — | +$816.82 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | — | +$1,333.21 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | — | +$4,210.13 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | — | -$2,048.48 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | Yes | — | +$3,209.64 | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | — | +$21.51 | Nov 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | No | — | -$73.47 | Nov 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | No | — | -$200.18 | Nov 2, 2026 |
Only current user-visible HIGH and MEDIUM observations appear here. A flag describes an unusual trading pattern; it is not evidence of misconduct.
Aug 30, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$21,094
BUY · No · 95¢
Aug 11, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$17,908
BUY · Yes · 95¢
Jun 15, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$18,978
BUY · Yes · 91¢
Jun 15, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$60,511
BUY · Yes · 90¢
Jun 15, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$16,944
BUY · Yes · 82¢
Jun 4, 2026
User Relative Anomaly
$11,670
BUY · Yes · 78¢
The wallet, positions, and P&L are public market records. The nickname is a stable navigation label, not a claim about the wallet owner.
The full address stays visible and links to Polygon for independent inspection.
Position and P&L rows come from Polymarket's public Data API and link back to their markets.
PolyTrackers makes no identity inference. A real-world label appears only with a public source.
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Historical P&L does not predict future performance. Start with paper trading and your own risk limits.