1 tracked whale move, 28 user-visible anomaly flags, 64 resolved receipts. One timestamped record of what moved, what looked unusual, and what ultimately resolved.
By PolyTrackers
6:39 PM CDT
Public-safe tracked activity only. No wallet ownership, user positions, or execution data appears in this recap.
1 moves
HIGH + MEDIUM
55 hit · 9 miss
Chicago day · six four-hour windows
12–4am
4–8am
8am–12pm
12–4pm
4–8pm
8pm–12am
Ranked by tracked notional
surfandturf · SELL NO · 71¢ · 6:39 PM CDT
$72K
User-visible detector output
8:00 AM CDT
5:30 AM CDT
12:15 AM CDT
12:15 PM CDT
9:00 AM CDT
No victory-lap editing
Every resolved flag in this day’s window stays in the record: hits, misses, and void outcomes.
| Market | Resolved | Record | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | YES | WIN | +11.1% |
| Will CDU win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | NO | WIN | +5.6% |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | NO | WIN | +35.3% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +9.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +29.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +7.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +13.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +11.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +29.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +20.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +32.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +9.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +35.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +5.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +33.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +29.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +10.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +5.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +11.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +26.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +35.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +33.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +31.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +35.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +20.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +40.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +25.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +29.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +14.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +22.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +19.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +28.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +31.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +26.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +6.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +29.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +28.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +32.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +7.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +40.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +22.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +31.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +12.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +23.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +22.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | YES | WIN | +37.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | YES | WIN | +25.0% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | WIN | +20.0% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | NO | WIN | +20.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | YES | WIN | +19.0% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | LOSS | -100.0% |
