0 tracked whale moves, 11 user-visible anomaly flags, 15 resolved receipts. One timestamped record of what moved, what looked unusual, and what ultimately resolved.
By PolyTrackers
9:15 PM CDT
Public-safe tracked activity only. No wallet ownership, user positions, or execution data appears in this recap.
0 moves
HIGH + MEDIUM
15 hit · 0 miss
Chicago day · six four-hour windows
12–4am
4–8am
8am–12pm
12–4pm
4–8pm
8pm–12am
Ranked by tracked notional
User-visible detector output
8:00 PM CDT
9:15 PM CDT
6:00 PM CDT
6:00 PM CDT
6:00 PM CDT
No victory-lap editing
Every resolved flag in this day’s window stays in the record: hits, misses, and void outcomes.
| Market | Resolved | Record | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | YES | WIN | +40.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | NO | WIN | +49.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | NO | WIN | +7.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | NO | WIN | +8.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | NO | WIN | +9.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +11.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | NO | WIN | +14.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +8.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +6.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +7.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +8.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | NO | WIN | +6.8% |
