Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Polymarket Odds | PolyTrackers
Market
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$18.0M Vol Ends Jan 1, 2027
4%current chance
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4%
Market odds
4% chance of Yes
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 11:59 PM ET Source: UMA Optimistic Oracle