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rewards 200, 4.5, 50 deprec · fed rates · economic policy · fed · business · jerome powell · economy · finance 13 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$50.4M Vol Ends Dec 31, 2026

89%

Selected outcome

0 (0 bps) · 89% chance

89%current chance

Loading price history…

Outcomes · ranked by chance

0 (0 bps)

$7.8M Vol

89%1%

1 (25 bps)

$2.7M Vol

8%

2 (50 bps)

$2.9M Vol

3%

3 (75 bps)

$2.7M Vol

1%

4 (100 bps)

$2.6M Vol

0%

5 (125 bps)

$2.8M Vol

0%

6 (150 bps)

$4.0M Vol

0%

7 (175 bps)

$3.3M Vol

0%

8 (200 bps)

$3.3M Vol

0%

9 (225 bps)

$4.3M Vol

0%

10 (250 bps)

$4.9M Vol

0%

11 (275 bps)

$5.3M Vol

0%

12+ (300+ bps)

$3.8M Vol

0%

rewards 200, 4.5, 50 deprec · fed rates · economic policy · fed · business · jerome powell · economy · finance 13 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$50.4M Vol Ends Dec 31, 2026

89%

Selected outcome

0 (0 bps) · 89% chance

89%current chance

Loading price history…

Outcomes · ranked by chance

0 (0 bps)

$7.8M Vol

89%1%

1 (25 bps)

$2.7M Vol

8%

2 (50 bps)

$2.9M Vol

3%

3 (75 bps)

$2.7M Vol

1%

4 (100 bps)

$2.6M Vol

0%

5 (125 bps)

$2.8M Vol

0%

6 (150 bps)

$4.0M Vol

0%

7 (175 bps)

$3.3M Vol

0%

8 (200 bps)

$3.3M Vol

0%

9 (225 bps)

$4.3M Vol

0%

10 (250 bps)

$4.9M Vol

0%

11 (275 bps)

$5.3M Vol

0%

12+ (300+ bps)

$3.8M Vol

0%